2011年4月19日星期二

Memo from Havana: evolution in Cuba, many are skeptical

Havana - months, Cubans were treated a blunted maché assessment their future by none other that their President, Raúl Castro.

They do not quite work hard and live too of dole in the State, he said. The economy was based on a math inapplicable in equivalent two more two "to six or eight," as he put it in a speech Saturday. And the Directorate does not have to initiate a younger generation to take over, leaving the upper level of the part dominated by the standard-bearers of the revolution, which is as old as 87.

Is no longer, he promised, pushing a battery change, considerably expand small businesses and for the first time since the revolution of 1959, allowing Cubans to buy and sell private houses, something now only through a lively market underground.

But if the winds of change - and it remains to be seen if they will end up by to Breeze or gust - are emanating from the Convention Hall where the Communist Party held its sixth Congress in the last three days, Cubans seem ambivalent, even skeptics, that the final result will be jostling the island.

"We have a way to make changes, but while keeping the same," said Johan Rodriguez, 22, who completes his accountant meagre State salary by selling trinkets on the street. "The fundamental problem is that we have no money." I hope that they discuss will change. ?

Mr. Castro has avoided resolutely using something as the capitalism of Word when discussing the new economic platform, lest the United States get the impression a long-lost cousin came into the fold. Indeed, it has tended to avoid describes changes, well, change, preferring to cast as "modernization" socialist model here.

Still, it has proved capable of diagnosing the precarious state of the economy, warning that Cuba can not afford workers of State that little, for their controls and suggesting even eventually get rid of the ration books that provide food and other products of first necessity to heavily subsidizing prices.

"How will allow us food?", said a young another Cuban, a 36-year engineer who did not want his name used for fear that his remarks would be too critical to the Government. "They will have to lower the price of food many people do not die of starvation." All this seems so quickly. ?

Yet, Mr. Castro was not the radical reformer that his speech suggest that it might be. Recently, he intervened in the announcement of plans to lay off 500,000 State workers, defer reductions indefinitely. Last year, he had thrown "inflated work force State" as an unsustainable expense, "is equivalent to" eat up our future and endanger the survival of the revolution.

But instead of rapid economic reform previously established by the Communist leadership, Mr. Castro said a large part of the planned changes would come over the next five years.

And although it suggests senior executives like him step more than two consecutive terms of five years, he has also complained that the younger generation was ill prepared to take on the best jobs.

How, analysts wondered, should be interpreted as he climbs in first place in the part - Fidel Castro, 84, disclosed last month that it was more the leader of the party - and selects a new No. 2, at the feast, the person who might succeed him as President of the nation?

Rafael Hernández, a political scientist who publishes the magazine Temas here, said there are the legions of young members in the substantive ranks which often hit a wall as they ride the party.

"It is a policy change difficult between the generation which has been there for 50 years and the younger generation," he said. "It is a difficult process and one that they wanted to deliberately gradually so it would be not so traumatic.".

"But," he added, "I think that it is not just about more young people." It is young people who think differently. We can have young people who believe as the old ones, or we can have young people who are young and think differently. ?

Read tobacco leaves, as some call it the Kremlinology here, may be foolhardy since streak of dismal and rising stars. It is primarily a matter of relatively young age-matched with the rank of party and the frequency of the television appearances, especially near the Castro brothers.

Much of the attention is Marino Murillo, 50, who has defended the initiatives of President Castro when he was Minister of the economy. It now has a new position as a sort of tsar overseeing changes to push more people into private business.


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