Humala, Fujimori appears headed to runoff water - to the Peru CNN International

A woman with her votes Sunday in Lima toddler, Peru.They are top vote-getters in electionCenter-right candidates appear to have cannibalized votesAnalysts disagree on who has the upper hand in the second roundA runoff election will be held in June

(CNN) - Peruvian polls appeared anything but Monday confirmed preliminary official account showed that with almost 90% of presidential ballots counted, the country was headed for a run-off between nationalist Ollanta Humala and former member of Congress Keiko Fujimori.

Pedro Pablo Kuczynski, economist who came in third, was not admitted as of Monday afternoon, but admitted that the runoff would "probably" be between Humala and Fujimori.

With nearly 90% of the votes counted, Humala had 31.37% of the vote, compared to that of Fujimori 23.22% and 19.23% of Kuczynski.

Humala Fujimori runoff is one that many voters in the middle and upper classes may be poorly have Stomacher.

For many, "this sounds like a terrible choice," said Julio Carrion, Professor of political science and international relations at the Peruvian University of Delaware.

Before the vote, polls which asked voters which they wanted not for President were led by Humala and Fujimori, carrion said.

Peruvian writer and Nobel laureate Mario Vargas Llosa has characterized the choice between them as a choice between cancer and AIDS, State press reports.

The President of left Humala appeared a threat to economic policies on the market, adopted by the country for decades. And Fujimori was concerned about people with catches of position that would forgive his father, former President Alberto Fujimori, who is serving a sentence of 25 years for violations of human rights. The two candidates have softened or backtracked on these posts controversial since then.

Particularly remarkable in this election was that apparent third-, fourth and fifth place finishers - Kuczynski, former President Alejandro Toledo and former Mayor of Lima Luis Castaneda - had virtually indistinguishable positions of centre-right, carrion said. Combined, the three represent 45% of the votes cast in the election.

Fujimori and Humala is top of the page because that middle-of-the-pack candidates cannibalized each other, said.

45% In the middle to become the field of battle for Humala and Fujimori heading, in the second round he said.

Humala, who lost in the second round of the 2006 elections, will be poorly to convince people that it is not an ally of Hugo Chavez that his critics to be. Humala stated that it has evolved, and its choice of advisers shows that its moderation may be sincere, said carrion.

Still, "Fujimori will have a time easier to convince people to vote for it," he said.

Concerns about Fujimori, who at 19 years, was first lady the nation, including whether it will have an authoritarian trend like his father and allow corruption and have dealings with unsavory characters, as he has done.

In addition to these concerns, political Fujimori are not unlike those averages three candidates, said carrion.

But, according to an analysis by the Eurasia Group, Humala who have the upper hand in the second round.

Humala will benefit from a strong desire for change, among voters analyst de group Eurasia Erasto Almeida wrote.

"First of all, he would make a more persuasive case that it represents"change"who want to most Peruvians," he wrote. "" "". Second, most voters have a negative reminder of the Government of the father (that of Fujimori). ?

Almeida added, "If Humala wins he will try to strike a balance between his desire to increase the role of the State in the economy without compromising macroeconomic stability, something which could be difficult."

Peru can expect a growth of 7% this year, the World Bank and is one of the most dynamic economies in Latin America. The country entered the crisis financial world relatively safe and sound, growth of GDP, job creation and the reduction of poverty, according to the Ministry of economy and Finance of the Peru.

The good news comes with expectations high of Peruvians, who want to see the rewards of this progress in a tangible way. While the economy as a quite Similarly, wages remained depressed during the same period. The country has experienced a significant decline in poverty over a decade, although it still stands to about 35%.

The two top vote-getters must face each other in a runoff June 5.Mariano Castillo of CNN has contributed to this report.

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